How Many People Have Ever Lived?

How Many People Have Ever Lived?

Population growth

Back in the 1970s, an unknown writer said that most of the people who had ever lived were alive then [1]. The idea persists, even though it’s not true.

From what I can find, estimates of the number of people ever born range from 50 to 120 billion, with 6 billion now living.

The number intrigues me on two fronts. First, if people are reincarnated, everyone now alive might have had somewhere between 9 and 20 past lives. That’s a useful number to throw out when gong the rounds with believers.

Second, and more interesting for me, this is a fundamental concept when trying to understand “pedigree collapse” — go back far enough and each of us has more theoretical ancestors than there were people living at the time. Therefore, we must, each of us, descend many thousands and millions of times from the same relatively small number of people. We are each our own cousin many times over.

I was pleased to find an article by Carl Haub at the Population Reference Bureau, How Many People Have Ever Lived on Earth? He thinks the number must be about 106 billion, with 6.2 billion living in 2002.

1. Some reports say it was Annie Dillard. Some reports say the number was 50%, some say it was 75%.

Genome Quilts

Genome Quilts

Genome QuiltsTurn your DNA sequence into a quilt pattern? I was skeptical, but now I get it. Beverly St. Clair at Genome Quilts had the idea of turning the repeating bases in a DNA molecule into a quilt pattern. She created four different quilt blocks, representing adenine (A), cytosine (C), guanine (G) and thymine (T). By repeating the blocks in the same order the bases appear on any given DNA sequence, she creates a personalized quilt. Pretty nifty. Prices for commissioned work range from $1,000 to $5,000. I predict the pattern will become as classic as Wedding Ring and Jacob’s Ladder.

Personal Genetics

Personal Genetics

23andmeThe big news in the genetic world this month is personal genomic testing. With an infusion of cash from Google, a Silicon Valley company, 23andMe, has launched a genetic testing service. Customers pay $999 and give a DNA sample in the form of saliva. The company genotypes 580,000 SNPs across the 46 human chromosomes. After testing, customers can log in to a personal account and explore their genetic makeup. Because SNPs are the source of inherited traits, the result is personal access to a wealth of medical information.

New York Times article

Wired.com article

Two other companies offer a similar service. deCODE Genetics in Reykjavik genotypes 1 million SNPs for $985. Navigenics in California will genotype 1 million SNPs for $2,500. Expect to see prices plummet over the next few years. Also expect some major battles with insurance companies over access to the information.

Genetic Strand: Exploring a Family History through DNA

Genetic Strand: Exploring a Family History through DNA

In the Victorian era it was common to save a lock of hair when someone died. Edward Ball, author of Slaves in the Family, inherited an old desk, in which he found a cache of those locks. Genetic testing helped confirm that the family has a mixed race heritage. His new book tells the story in detail: The Genetic Strand: Exploring a Family History through DNA.

Edited June 14, 2020 to remove broken link.

County Seals

County Seals

Do a Google image search on “county seals” and you’ll see that they (and state seals) are usually poorly designed. I would venture to guess that most were thrown together over lunch by some of the folks in the back office. Every now and then one stands out, either because it uses legitimate heraldry or because the efforts of a graphic designer shine through. Denver’s county seal straddles the two categories, for a nice effect.

As government grows in complexity and professionalism, bad designs are bound to fall by the wayside. Allan Showalter has been fighting the good fight in McHenry County, Illinois. Here are two of his entries:

  • How To Create An Official Seal – Part 1: The Mechanics
  • How To Create An Official Seal – Part 2: Credentials

Update Jan. 11, 2019: These links have been deleted by the owner. Too bad.